The
Middle East should brace for all types of retaliation following General
Qasem Soleimani’s death, due to his “cult status” both inside and
outside of Iran, European officials told CNN.
Officials
are preparing for the possibility of Iran accelerating the funding and
equipping of regional proxies with conventional weapons to target the US
and possibly its allies across the region. They note that this
decentralized approach would make it more difficult to defend personnel
and buildings.
Other concerns include a concerted set of disruptive or degrading cyber-attacks, similar to those we’ve seen in the past.
Officials
told CNN the size and capability of the US military – along with
President Trump’s demonstration that he will act aggressively – make it
unlikely that a full-scale military confrontation will occur. However,
forecasting is difficult as it is hard to predict what triggers Trump's
actions.
Iran could respond in both covert and open ways in order to show their power to US and international audiences, they added.
If
Iran does respond with a high-profile attack, it is important to
remember that the US and Iran are entering their 41st year of conflict.
But officials also say that the death of Soleimani is the first time the
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have paid a major price for
their campaigns in Iraq and throughout the region.
Any
high profile short-term response could take weeks rather than days due
to heightened protective measures now in place, the officials say.
From CNN's Max Foster
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